Storage Trends 2025

It’s been almost 15 months since I blogged about Storage Trends 2024 [1]. There hasn’t been much change in this time (in Australia at least – I’m not tracking prices in other countries). The change was so small I had to check how the Australian dollar has performed against other currencies to see if changes to currencies had countered changes to storage prices, but there has been little overall change when compared to the Chinese Yuan and the Australian dollar is only about 11% worse against the US dollar when compared to a year ago. Generally there’s a trend of computer parts decreasing in price by significantly more than 11% per annum.

Small Storage

The cheapest storage device from MSY now is a Patriot P210 128G SATA SSD for $19, cheaper than the $24 last year and the same price as the year before. So over the last 2 years there has been no change to the cheapest storage device on sale. It would almost never make sense to buy that as a 256G SATA SSD (also Patriot P210) is $25 and has twice the lifetime (120TBW vs 60TBW). There are also 256G NVMe devices for $29 and $30 which would be better options if the system has a NVMe socket built in.

The cheapest 500G devices are $42.50 for a 512G SATA SSD and $45 for a 500G NVMe. Last year the prices were $33 for SATA and $36 for NVMe in that size so there’s been a significant increase in price there. The difference is enough that if someone was on a tight budget they might reasonably decide to use smaller storage than they might have used last year!

2TB hard drives are still $89 the same price as last year! Last year a 2TB SATA SSD was $118 and a 2TB NVMe was $145, now a 2TB SATA SSD is $157 and a 2TB NVMe is $127. So NVMe has become cheaper than SATA in that segment but overall prices are higher than last year. Again for business use 2TB seems a sensible minimum for most systems if you are paying MSY rates (or similar rates from Amazon etc).

Medium Storage

Last year 4TB HDDs were $135, now they are $148. Last year the cheapest 4TB SSD was $299, now the cheapest is a $309 NVMe. While the prices have all gone up the price difference between hard drives and SSD has decreased in that size range. So for a small server (a lot of home servers and small business servers) 4TB of RAID-1 storage is all that’s needed and for that SSDs are the best option. The price difference between $296 for 4TB of RAID-1 HDDs and $618 for RAID-1 NVMe is small enough to be justified by the benefits of speed and being quiet for most small server uses.

In 2023 a 8TB hard drive cost $179 and a 8TB SSD cost $739. Last year a 8TB hard drive cost $239 and a 8TB SATA SSD cost, $899. Now a 8TB HDD costs $229 and MSY doesn’t sell 8TB SSDs but for comparison Amazon has a Samsung 8TB SATA SSD for $919. So for storing 8TB+ there are benefits of hard drives as SSDs are difficult to get in that size range and more expensive than they were before. It seems that 8TB SSDs aren’t used by enough people to have a large market in the home and small office space, so those of us who want the larger storage sizes will have to get second hand enterprise gear. It will probably be another few years before 8TB enterprise SSDs start appearing on the second hand market.

Serious Storage

Last year I wrote about the affordability of U.2 devices. I regret not buying some then as there are fewer on sale now and prices are higher.

For hard drives they still aren’t a good choice for most users because most users don’t have more than 4TB of data.

For large quantities of data hard drives are still a good option, a 22TB disk costs $899. For companies this is a good option for many situations. For home users there is the additional problem that determining whether a drive is Shingled Magnetic Recording which has some serious performance issues for some use and it’s very difficult to determine which drives use it.

Conclusion

For corporate purchases the options for serious storage are probably decent. But for small companies and home users things definitely don’t seem to have improved as much as we expect from the computer industry, I had expected 8TB SSDs to go for $450 by now and SSDs less than 500G to not even be sold new any more.

The prices on 8TB SSDs have gone up more in the last 2 yeas than the ASX 200 (index of 200 biggest companies in the Australian stock market). I would never recommend using SSDs as an investment, but in retrospect 8TB SSDs could have been a good one.

$20 seems to be about the minimum cost that SSDs approach while hard drives have a higher minimum price of a bit under $100 because they are larger, heavier, and more fragile. It seems that the market is likely to move to most SSDs being close to $20, if they can make 2TB SSDs cheaply enough to sell for about that price then that would cover the majority of the market.

I’ve created a table of the prices, I should have done this before but I initially didn’t plan an ongoing series of posts on this topic.

• [1] https://etbe.coker.com.au/2024/01/22/storage-trends-2024/